Android, iOS devices to take market share from Windows PCs
Windows is going to be eclipsed by Android in 2016, according to market researcher IDC. Expect Apple's iOS to see an uptick too.
The venerable Windows-Intel PC will see a sharp decline by 2016 while devices running Android and Apple's iOS are on the rise, market researcher IDC said.
There will be a "dramatic shift" between 2011 and 2016, with the "once-dominant" Windows-Intel PCs dropping from a market-dominating 35.9 per cent share in 2011 to 25.1 per cent in 2016, IDC said.
Mobile devices like Android phones and tablets, and Apple iPhones and iPads will step into the void and begin to dominate. Android devices (using ARM chips) will grow from 29.4 per cent share in 2011 to a leading 31.1 per cent share in 2016. And Apple's iOS-based devices will grow from a 14.6 per cent share in 2011 to 17.3 per cent in 2016.
"Smart, connected, compute-capable [phones and tablets] are playing an increasingly important role in nearly every individual's life," said Bob O'Donnell, vice president of clients and displays at IDC.
This year, unit shipments for smart connected devices should top 1.1 billion worldwide, IDC said. By 2016, IDC predicts shipments will jump to 1.84 billion units, more than double the 2011 figure.
This works out to a compound annual growth rate of 15.4 per cent for the five-year forecast period, IDC said.
Android: but it's not all good news for all players in the Android market. "Android's growth is tied directly to the propagation of lower-priced devices," Tom Mainelli, research director of mobile connected devices at IDC, said. "So, while we expect dozens of hardware vendors to own some share in the Android market, many will find profitability difficult to sustain."
iOS: and IDC expects a large percentage of application developers to focus their efforts on iOS, because iOS users are willing to pay for high-quality apps.